Market Studies

Economic Recession
Impact on the SCS Market

Published: June 2009

Overview
| Contents | Figures

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Overview:

The SCS market’s performance has been measured by the growth in UTP cable volume. This was based on the enormous amount of UTP cable used in LAN horizontal cabling subsystems. The figure to the leftdepicts the UTP Cable volume growth during the recent recession.



This clearly indicates the decrease in UTP cable shipments during the current recession. Therefore, one may reach the conclusion that the SCS market was severely impacted by the recession. However, if one were to view the total value of SCS systems over this period, a slight bump would be observed. This would lead to the conclusion that the impact of the recession on the SCS market was relatively mild. Which of these two scenarios provides the accurate picture of the market’s performance over this period? We believe the scenario of the relatively mild impact is the more accurate depiction of the marketplace. No longer is UTP cable for LAN cabling applications the pacing factor for the market’s performance. The decreased volume of cabling products caused by the recession is more than offset by the higher performance, more expensive cabling systems now needed for newer applications, such as data centers, VOIP or wireless cabling applications is increasingly being deployed during this same period. This new study incorporates our extensive analysis of SCS cabling applications during the past several years, assessing its impact on the SCS marketplace.


Table of Contents


CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION

  • Study Objectives
  • Near Term versus Forecast
  • Methodology/Sources
  • General Notes

CHAPTER 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Current Economic Recession
  • SCS Recession Impact
  • SCS Market Forecast
CHAPTER 3
NEAR TERM ECONOMIC RECESSION
  • Recent US Economic Performance –
    • GDP Growths Stimulus Bill I
    • Impact
  • Broadband Infrastructure Investments
  • Health Care Stimulus
  • Increased IT Spending Stimulus

CHAPTER 4
SCS MARKET PERFORMANCE

  • Historical Perspective
  • Near Term Performance
  • Long Term Performance

CHAPTER 5
TOTAL SCS NEAR TERM PERFORMANCE
GROWTHS (2006-2010)

  • Total SCS Market Shipments
  • Total SCS Market Near Term Performance by Media Types

CHAPTER 6
COPPER CABLE NEAR TERM PERFORMANCE

  • Total Copper Cable Near Term Performance
  • Copper Cabling Near Term Growth Performance by Product Types
  • Near Term Fiber Cabling Growth Performance by Product Types
  • Copper Cable by UTP & Coax Near Term Performance
  • UTP Cables by Categories Near Term Performance

CHAPTER 7
FIBER CABLE NEAR TERM PERFORMANCE

  • Total Fiber Cable Near Term Performance
  • Fiber Cable by MM-SM Near Term Performance

CHAPTER 8
COPPER APPARATUS NEAR TERM PERFORMANCE

  • Total Copper Apparatus Near Term Performance
  • Copper Apparatus Near Term Performance
    by Product Segments Copper Apparatus Volume Near Term
  • Performance by Products

CHAPTER 9
FIBER APPARATUS NEAR TERM
PERFORMANCE

  • Total Fiber Apparatus Near Term Performance
  • Fiber Apparatus Near Term Performance by Product Types
  • Fiber Apparatus Near Term Volume Performance by Product Types

CHAPTER 10
TOTAL SCS MARKET FORECAST

  • Total SCS Market Forecast
  • Total SCS Market Forecast by Product Types
  • Total SCS Market Forecast by Media Types

CHAPTER 11
COPPER CABLE FORECASTS

  • Total Copper Cable Forecast
  • UTP Cable Forecasts by Categories

CHAPTER 12
FIBER CABLE FORECASTS

  • Total Fiber Cable Forecast
  • Fiber Cable Volume by MM-SM Fibers
  • Fiber Cable Value Shipments by MM-SM Fibers

CHAPTER 13
COPPER APPARATUS FORECAST

  • Total Copper Apparatus Forecast
  • Coax-UTP Apparatus Segments Forecast
  • Copper Apparatus by Products Segments Forecast
  • Copper Apparatus Product Volume
    Segments

CHAPTER 14
FIBER APPARATUS FORECASTS

  • Total Fiber Apparatus Forecast
  • Fiber Apparatus Forecast by Product Segments
    Fiber Apparatus by Product Segments Volume Forecasts

 


Table of Figures


CHAPTER 2
Figure 2.1: Near Term UTP Cable Growths
Figure 2.2: Near Term Total SCS Market $(M)
Figure 2.3: Total SCS Market Forecast $(M)

CHAPTER 4
Figure 4.1: Near Term UTP Cable Volume Growths
Figure 4.2: Forecast UTP Cable Volume Growths

CHAPTER 5
Figure 5.1: Total SCS Market Near Term Performance
Figure 5.2: Total SCS Near Term Growths
Figure 5.3: Near Term Total SCS Market by Media Types $(M)
Figure 5.4: Near Term Fiber-Copper Cabling Trends
Figure 5.5: Near Term Copper Cabling Performance by Products $(M)
Figure 5.6: Near Term Fiber Cabling Performance by Products $(M)

CHAPTER 6
Figure 6.1: Copper Cable Volume Near Term Performance (Mft.)
Figure 6.2: Copper Cable Market Near Term Volume Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 6.3: Copper Cable Near Term Performance $(M)
Figure 6.4: Copper Cable Market Near Term Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 6.5: Copper Cable Near Term Performance by UTP & Coax (Mft.)
Figure 6.6: Copper Cable Near Term Performance by UTP & Coax $(M)
Figure 6.7: Copper Cable Near Term Performance Growths by Categories (Mft.)
Figure 6.8: Copper Cable Near Term Performance Growths by Categories $(M)

CHAPTER 7
Figure 7.1: Fiber Cable Volume Shipments Near Term Performance
Figure 7.2: Fiber Cable Volume Shipments Near Term Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 7.3: Fiber Cable Value Shipments Near Term Performance $(M)
Figure 7.4: Fiber Cable Value Shipments Near Term Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 7.5: Fiber Cable Volume by MM-SM Near Term Performance (Mft.)
Figure 7.6: Fiber Cable Value by MM-SM Near Term Performance $(M)

CHAPTER 8
Figure 8.1: Total Copper Apparatus Near Term Performance $(M)
Figure 8.2: Total Copper Apparatus Value Near Term Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 8.3: Copper Apparatus Near Term Performance by Products $(M)
Figure 8.4: Copper Patch Panels Near Term Performance (000s ports)
Figure 8.5: Copper Outlets Near Term Performance (000s)
Figure 8.6: Copper Connectors Near Term Performance (000s)

CHAPTER 9
Figure 9.1: Total Fiber Apparatus Near Term Performance $(M)
Figure 9.2: Total Fiber Apparatus Value Near Term Year-to-Year Growths
Figure 9.3: Fiber Apparatus Near Term Performance by Products $(M)
Figure 9.4: Fiber Interconnect Near Term Volume Performance (000s Ports)
Figure 9.5: Fiber Outlets Near Term Volume Performance (000s)
Figure 9.6: Fiber Connectors Near Term Volume Performance (000s)
Figure 9.7: Fiber Connectorized Cables Near Term Volume Performance
Figure 9.8: Fiber Cassettes Near Term Volume Performance

CHAPTER 10
Figure 10.1: Total SCS Market Forecast $(M)
Figure 10.2: Total SCS Forecasts by Products $(M)
Figure 10.3: Total SCS Forecast by Product Trends
Figure 10.4: Total SCS Market Forecast by Media Types $(M)
Figure 10.5: Total SCS Market by Media Type Trends

CHAPTER 11
Figure 11.1: Total Copper Cable Market Forecast (Mft.)
Figure 11.2: Copper Cable Volume Forecast by Media Types (Mft.)
Figure 11.3: Total Copper Cable Market Forecast $(M)
Figure 11.4: Copper Cable Volume Forecast by Media Types $(M)
Figure 11.5: Copper Cable Forecast by Categories (Mft.)
Figure 11.6: UTP Cable Volume by Category Trends (Mft.)
Figure 11.7: UTP Cable Forecast by Categories $(M)
Figure 11.8: UTP Cable Market by Category Trends $(M)

CHAPTER 12
Figure 12.1: Total Fiber Cable Market Forecast (Mft.)
Figure 12.2: Total Fiber Cable Forecast $(M)
Figure 12.3: Fiber Cable Volume Forecast by MM-SM (Mft.)
Figure 12.4: Fiber Cable by MM-SM Trends (Mft.)
Figure 12.5: Fiber Cable Value Forecasts by MM-SM $(M)
Figure 12.6: Fiber Cable by MM-SM Trends $(M)

CHAPTER 13
Figure 13.1: Total Copper Apparatus Forecast $(M)
Figure 13.2: UTP –Coax Apparatus Forecasts $(M)
Figure 13.3: Copper Apparatus by Products Forecast $(M)
Figure 13.4: Copper Apparatus by Product Trends $(M)
Figure 13.5: Copper Apparatus by Products Forecast (000s)

CHAPTER 14
Figure 14.1: Total Fiber Apparatus Forecast $(M)
Figure 14.2: Fiber Apparatus by Product Segments Forecasts $(M)
Figure 14.3: Fiber Apparatus by Product Trends $(M)
Figure 14.4: Fiber Apparatus by Product Segments Volume
Forecasts (000s)

 

 


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